A Study On Carbon Emission And Economic Growth In The Prefecture-level Cities Of Zhejiang Province At The Background Of Lower-Carbon Economy

In the context of global warming,low-carbon economy is getting more and more attention and support of the country.China is advocating the development of low carbon economy in recent years.With the rapid development of economic in Zhejiang province,the province's energy consumption has increased.Under this background,Zhejiang province is facing problems and challenges of how to get along well with nature while developing economic.So it is very necessary to study the low carbon economy development level of 11 cities in Zhejiang province and related influence factors of carbon emissions in each city.First,the structure of this paper is according to the route of “literature review-mechanism analysis — situation study — modeling — results analysis — policy suggestions”We review the literatures about the relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions from the perspective of theoretical and empirical.And the representative literatures about important factors affecting carbon dioxide emissions are systematically reviewed.Then we point the limitations of model setting,research perspective and quantitative analysis that exist in the literatures.Secondly,we study the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth from the perspective of theoretical.Thirdly,this article analyzes the economic growth of all the cities in Zhejiang Province and the present situation of carbon dioxide emissions.We analyses the ecomomic growth of all the cities in Zhejiang Province from two aspects—the speed of economic growth and industrial structure.We analyses the present situation of carbon dioxide emissions from two aspects — carbon intensity and Tapio decoupling state.Besides,there is no authoritative department or organization measuring the carbon dioxide emissions data,we measure the data based on the relevant scholars describing the method in his article.Fourth,this article attempts to work out the following three questions as follows:First,Are the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth of the cities in Zhejiang showing EKC inverted U-shaped curve,if not,what are the characterristics?Second,how does international trade,foreign direct investment,industrial structure,andurbanization rate affect carbon dioxide emissions? Third,do the control variables have a long-term effect on carbon dioxide emissions?In the fifth chapter of this paper,the above three questions were answered:?1?Hangzhou,Jiaxing,Jinhua,Quzhou and Taizhou are inverted "N" curves;Wenzhou,Shaoxing and Zhoushan are "N" curves;Ningbo,Huzhou and Lishui are "U" curve.The result showed that CO₂ emissions are affected strongly at an early stage of economic development and that when economic development reaches a certain extent,CO₂ emissions will be affected weakly,although there will be a change in direction,but this change is not dominant.This suggests that small changes in GDP may not change CO₂ emissions significantly,but may shift from inhibition to boost.When the economy is growing at a rapid pace,therefore,we attach great importance to be more aware of that we can not be at the expense of the environment to develop the economy.If you can make good use of this opportunity to combine economic development and environmental protection,it is the best decision.?2?Through the analysis of the influence of the four control variables on the CO₂ emissions from 11 cities in Zhejiang Province,all the four variables have both positive and negative effects on CO₂ emissions,which indicates that these factors have different impact when cities range.This tells us that the diversity of environmental change with uncertainty,we are engaged in development must be adapted to local conditions to develop appropriate countermeasures in order to find a balance.?3?The lagged term of each variable is introduced to analyze that the long-term effect can be considered more comprehensively.The empirical results show that the first-order lag effect of each variable is obvious and the long-term effect exists.Finally,based on the empirical results,we put forward some policy suggestions from the perspective of industrial structure,control urbanization process,international trade and foreign direct investment.