Research On Traffic Demand Forecast And Traffic Organization Of Long-distance Bus Station Of Changchun West Passenger Terminal

Scale of Changchun city expands unceasingly in recent years,and traffic demand is growing.There is an urgent need to establish to Changchun West Passenger Terminal as the core of the West New Town to change urban structure and share the urban traffic pressure.Therefore,it will ensure the sustainable development of Changchun City.In addition,it is necessary to do the research on traffic demand forecast and traffic organization of Long-Distance Bus Station of Changchun West Passenger Terminal.It can help guide the construction of Long-Distance Bus Station of Changchun West Passenger Terminal.Let the Changchun West Passenger Terminal be the perfect comprehensive transportation network system and greening system and landscape system,and promote Changchun West Passenger Terminal to be core of the West New Town.Firstly,this paper investigates the current traffic situation of the West New Town and the West Passenger Terminal area,and understands the relevant planning of Changchun,and understands the status quo and the development planning of the area and clarifies the core role of the West Passenger Terminal playing to the development of the West New Town.Collecting and sorting out the basic data of Changchun West Passenger Terminal area,such as land use planning and land use status and population and employment situation in the region.Based on the "General Regulations",the growth curve model is used to forecast the social economy,which is the basis of forecasting the total demand of the passenger terminal.The four-stage method is used to forecast the regional traffic demand of Changchun West Passenger Terminal.According to the land use,economic and social factors,the study area is divided into 15 traffic districts,which are used to forecast the generation of traffic.Generation of passenger station trip is divided into station generation and background generation,in which background generation is calculated using the original unit method.The traffic distribution forecast is made by double constrained gravity model,and the traffic distribution forecast of Changchun West Passenger Terminal area and outer zone and Changchun West Railway Station area is analyzed emphatically.Reference to other cities similar to the way the hub of the division,and predicting the traffic way of Changchun West Passenger Terminal.Finally,according to the principles of traffic separation,traffic continuity and traffic load balance,the paper divided the external and internal traffic organization of West Passenger Terminal.In addition,according to the characteristics of the network around the West Passenger Terminal,design the external traffic organization of conventional public transport,taxis and private vehicles of long-distance passenger transport.Finally,according to the characteristics of the division of land and external traffic conditions,the all organization of kinds of traffic way into transport and internal traffic organization are designed.Research on traffic demand forecast and traffic organization of Long-Distance Bus Station of Changchun West Passenger Terminal provides the basis for the construction of the north square of Changchun West Passenger Terminal,and provides the guarantee of transportation planning for building West Passenger Terminal as the core of the Western New Town.