Spatial Temporal Feature Of Population Migration And Analysis Of Influencing Factors In Liaoning

Since the adoption of the reform and opening policy in our country,with the rapid growth of the economy,the uneven development of the region and the loose system of household registration management,migration of population has become one of the "new normal" in our country.During 2016,the State Council issued” the national population development strategic plan(2016-2030)”,document points out that the overall thinking of implementing the population balanced development strategy as the population development plan.So for Liaoning,which is climbing over the ridge and the loss of the population is more serious,the study of the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and influencing factors of inter provincial migration will help to seek the path of development from the interior,rational allocation of the labor and material resources,alleviating the population problem in Liaoning Province,accelerating the process of sustainable development.This thesis is divided into six chapters.The first chapter is the introduction.This chapter mainly introduces the research background,research significance,research progress on population migration at home and abroad,and establishes the research ideas of this paper.The second chapter defines and describes the concept of population migration,and introduce three general theories of population migration,such as Ravenstein's laws of migration,Push-Pull theory and Neoclassical theory.The third chapter selects the census data of seven periods in 1987,1990,1995,2000,2005,2010 and 2015.The basic unit of the 30 provincial administrative units in China in addition to Hongkong,Macao and Taiwan.Analysis of the temporal distribution characteristics of the inter provincial migration population in Liaoning.It is find that the inter provincial migration in Liaoning showed a fluctuating trend of development but decreased in the2010-2015 year period and the emigration of the population in Liaoning is increasing as time goes on.The fourth chapter uses ArcGIS10.2 to visualize the spatial distribution of the "attraction index" and the "trend index" of the migration population in Liaoning province and analysis of the spatial evolution law of the provincial population migration in Liaoning during1982-2015.Among them,the population attraction index of Liaoning province is "staircase" distribution.And the emigration population in Liaoning began to migrate to the provincial administrative units closer to Liaoning Province,and gradually tended to be dispersed throughout the country.The fifth chapter analyses the influence factors of the inter provincial Migration of Liaoning province by the grey relational analysis method.The impact of two factors on the migration of Liaoning provincial population is found to be more significant but the significance of distance factors decreased with time.The total population of Liaoning Province in the next ten years is predicted by the curve estimation method,and find that the population of Liaoning was in a downward trend and reduced sharply.The sixth chapter,based on the summary of the full text,puts forward a practical solution to the population problem in Liaoning province.At the same time,the shortcomings of this thesis and the direction of future research are expounded.