Research On The Relationship Between Industrial Structure Development And Labor Employment In The Four Regions Of Southern Xinjiang

In the white paper 《Employment Guarantee in Xinjiang》 issued by the State Council on September 17,2020,it was pointed out that the total number of labor employment in Xinjiang in 2019 was 1330.12 million.The problem of labor employment in southern Xinjiang has always been highly valued by the Party Central Committee and the autonomous region government.The national counterpart assistance to Xinjiang has repeatedly conveyed one of the most important tasks of economic development in southern Xinjiang.Focusing on the major strategies of the national fight against poverty,rural revitalization and the promotion of the western development in the new era to form a new pattern,the four regions of southern xinjiang are one of the deep poverty-stricken areas of the country’s "three regions and three states".exploring the relationship between industrial structure development and labor employment,finding out the existing problems and causes,how to adjust and optimize the industrial structure to promote labor employment,and promote high-quality development of regional industrial economy are of great significance to promote employment poverty alleviation,industrial structure development and realize the organic connection between poverty alleviation and rural revitalization.On the basis of summarizing the relevant theories and research results of domestic and foreign scholars on industrial structure and labor employment,this paper combines the relevant data of industrial development and employment in the four regions of southern Xinjiang from 2009 to 2018,analyzes the current situation of industrial development and labor employment in the four southern prefectures by multiple indicators,and uses a variety of econometric analysis models to explore the impact of the three industrial structures on the labor industry.The main conclusions are as follows :(1)From 2009 to 2018,the labor productivity of the four regions in southern Xinjiang increased rapidly,the industrial employment elasticity maintained a stable state of fluctuation,the industrial expansion elasticity showed a dynamic change of difference,and the industrial structure deviation showed an unbalanced state of difference fluctuation.(2)From 2009 to 2018,the industrial output value of the four southern states showed an increasing trend year by year.The proportion of the tertiary industry was higher than that of the first and second industries.The proportion of the tertiary industry to absorb employment increased continuously,and the proportion of the first and second industries decreased.(3)The development of industrial structure in the four regions of southern Xinjiang from 2009 to 2018 has significantly improved the growth of labor employment,and the influence of the tertiary industry is higher than that of the primary and secondary industries.The development of industrial structure has a lag effect on labor employment.In addition,the population and labor productivity of the four southern states have a certain inhibitory effect on the level of labor employment.Industrial expansion elasticity,social fixed investment level,social consumption level,regional average wage level and government fiscal expenditure have a certain role in promoting labor employment.Based on the above research conclusions,this paper puts forward policy suggestions to promote the development of industrial structure and labor employment in the four regions of southern Xinjiang: From the macro policy perspective,we should seize the opportunity of industrial transformation and upgrading and create more jobs;From the perspective of medium industrial supply,we should optimize the industrial structure and promote the modernization of industrial base and industrial chain;From the perspective of micro-subject,we should improve the quality of workers and promote industrial digital transformation and labor market reform.