Ways Of Choosing And Developing Substituent Leading Industry Of Resource-based Cities In Industry Conversion

Resource-based cities are cities whose leading industry is based on resource exploitation. Nowadays, there are more than 400 such cities, taking up a large percentage in our country. Because the resources can't be recycled, the cities will be faced with a serious situation and won't escape the pressure of industry conversion after the resources are run out of. The urgent problem to resource-based cities is how to realize industry conversion for the sustainable development of the cities while the resource is dried up gradually, which is also one of the studies of regional economics. The dissertation is based on the cases of Zaozhuang's industry conversion, and the research object is how to choose substituent leading industry. The research conclusions provide the decision-making basis for the government and related institutions and analysis tools for the resource-exploiting Enterprise in the development decision-making.Positive study and normative study are adopted and quantitative analysis is combined with qualitative analysis in the dissertation. The theory of regional economics, game theory and systems engineering are put to use in the progress of the research. At first, documents are recalled and referred. Then, research progress of related research field is analyzed. Meanwhile, the industries development of Zaozhuang has been investigated. What's more, the theories of industrial structure analysis as well as substituent leading industries choice and its development have been studied. Based on the research above, the dissertation takes out the model about choosing substituent leading industries in resource-based cities, and uses it in Zaozhuang, while gives the countermeasure to Zaozhuang on substituent leading industry developing.The analysis and judgment to regional industries structure are the base of choosing substituent leading industry. The dissertation uses the theories of industries structure quantitative analysis to analyze Zaozhuang's industries structure and obtain three restriction factors on developing Zaozhuang's substituent leading industry according to the statistics. It also defines the features of leading industry, compares and chooses the principles of choosing leading industry, presents choosing index systems as measure basis, adopts AHP to build a model, and uses the modal in Zaozhuang, reaching the conclusion of Zaozhuang's substituent leading industry, that is, machine building, chemical industry, building materials. At last, the dissertation makes an analysis of SWOT of Zaozhuang, and gives the related policy suggestions.