Population Forecasts And Comprehensive Utilization Of Guangdong Province

The population is a complex social entity and a combination of a variety of socialrelations， the quantity， quality and utilization levels have a greater impact on economic andsocial development， the research on population， demographic dividend and comprehensiveutilization in Guangdong Province has important significance. The paper has discussed thetotal population and changes in trends， demographic transition process from time level ofGuangdong Province， and has predicted the population， demographic dividend; This articlehas analyzed the demographic dividend status， labor utilization from space level in fourregions of Guangdong Province，and discussed the regional differences in Guangdong fourregions.To explore the Guangdong Provincial population development process and thecomprehensive utilization from different angles， and give the government a certain policyrecommendations， divided into the following main elements：The first chapter explains the article’s research background， research status at home andabroad， the theory describes the purpose and significance of the study.The second chapter analyzes the changes in the total population and householdpopulation in Guangdong Province accounted for the proportion of the resident population，the total population of the regional the total population of the regional Present Situation.Introduced the gray theoretical and a empirical analysis， and modified the model to predictthe total population in Guangdong ProvinceThe third chapter analyzes the demographic transition process and the status quo， theregional division of the population age structure of Guangdong Province. Explored thechanging demographic dividend， the regional demographic dividend status quo and forecastthe demographic dividend based on Markov chain.The fourth chapter has constructed and improved the new economic growth model， andempirical test of the labor has been put into the economic development of GuangdongProvince. Analysised based on labor utilization the demographic dividend regional differencesand based on principal component analysis of the demographic dividend regional differences. The fifth chapter analysise the formation， evolution and regional differences of thedemographic dividend of Guangdong Province， and discussesed the impact of thedemographic dividend of the development and giving advices of Guangdong Province.