Scientific And Technological Progress Analysis, Contribution To The Growth Rate Of Agricultural Output Of Chongqing Municipality

Agriculture is the survival and development of human society and the foundation of all human activities are started in production agriculture, human progress in every society, always with the development of agricultural production and improve agricultural productivity are closely linked. Japan's well-known economist speed pull of water and Tam economists see the United States, the nature of agricultural development is "to accelerate the agricultural output and productivity growth in order to be consistent with a modern economy in the growth of other sectors in line." In order to achieve growth in agricultural productivity is a necessary condition for progress in science and technology, development of agriculture, it is necessary to achieve agriculture from the traditional to the modern shift in the context of reality, it is necessary to improve productivity to rely on scientific and technological progress to promote agricultural development. Promote agricultural growth in the role in promoting scientific and technological progress, we must formulate a practical and effective route of scientific and technological progress, and one of the most fundamental of scientific and technological progress is based on the contribution rate of science and accurate calculations.Progress of science and technology development trend of the discussion has been the study of economic growth in the area of an important subject. Experts and scholars across the country or a region within a period of time to progress in science and technology contribution to growth in the share of agricultural production have been studied, but Chongqing contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in agriculture-related research carried out has not yet seen. In this paper, at full draw on existing research results on the basis of the progress of agricultural science and technology in Chongqing Chongqing agricultural contribution to economic growth, performance and the role of the corresponding study in Chongqing contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in agriculture have been measured and presented recommendations. The main conclusions are:(1) after the number of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery output, material inputs, the number of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery operators, land input sequences are not stable, indicating an upward trend in these indicators significantly. Through the co-integration test can be seen, the four variables even though the four series of non-stationary series, but between them there is a cointegration relationship, so they set up the use of linear regression equation will not lead to "pseudo-regression."(2) three types of input from the dynamic elements of the estimated elasticity of output results: Chongqing Municipality flexible material inputs in agricultural production in 1986-1998 showed a solid rise in 1999-2007 at a certain degree of decline, finally in 2004 gradually beginning to reach a stable value; forestry, animal husbandry and fishery workers at a number of flexibility in the period 1986-2007 the overall downward trend, the changes in agricultural production is in line with the basic situation; land remain flexible input upward trend in the fluctuations .(3) of the Chongqing Municipal Agricultural Science and Technology of agriculture contribution to the economic growth rate of the overall upward trend, but the inter-annual fluctuations between the larger, combined with horizontal comparison can be seen that the agricultural scientific and technological progress in agriculture's contribution to the rate of economic growth performance of the overall situation as " low and unstable. "(4) of the Chongqing Municipal Agricultural Science and Technology of agriculture contribution to economic growth rates in the years 1986-2007 show an overall one high one low. "One low" means the Territory in Chongqing in agricultural science and technology of agriculture before the economic growth rate of a lower level of contribution, "one high" means a Territory in Chongqing after the agricultural science and technology of agriculture's contribution to the rate of economic growth over the previous level has increased over time . Chongqing Territory in 1997, but the agricultural science and technology of agriculture's contribution to economic growth levels were not increased immediately, but only appeared in 1999 increased significantly.(5) from the present situation, labor input and land into the agricultural economy of Chongqing growth rates have basically entered a stable period, the combination of Chongqing, the actual situation of agricultural development to look at this situation we can see that from a long-term of view, simply input-driven material, that is, the extensive growth of the agricultural economy is not only unsustainable, it can not fundamentally solve the problem of agricultural development in Chongqing basic conditions. Agricultural economy to achieve sustainable growth can only continue to improve the level of agricultural science and technology to accelerate the appropriate local characteristics of agricultural science and technology research and application.